Why the economy could make or break Biden’s presidency
Now with President Joe Biden in the White House, it looks as though politics may be returning to a degree of normalcy. Americans’ views on the economy could once again tell us who is going to hold congressional power after the midterms.
Recent polls show a high correlation with how voters feel about Biden’s performance on the economy and how they intend to vote in the 2022 midterms. Polls from AP-NORC, Fox News and NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist all have Biden’s approval rating on the economy in the low 50s with a disapproval rating in the mid-to-high 40s. The average gap was about 4 points.
Polling also shows that Democrats have around a 4-point advantage over Republicans on the generic congressional ballot.
When you examine individual demographic groups, you see how closely the two questions are related.
A Quinnipiac University poll from May showed that Biden’s net approval rating (approval – disapproval) on the economy differed from the…